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Home / Markets / #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?
Resolved market scorecard

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?: result and scorecard

Resolved ChatGPT. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 98.6%; a week before, 94.5%. $209K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

ChatGPT
resolved January 23, 2026

Price 1 day before

98.6%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

94.5%
30 days before: –

Volume

$209K
20 outcomes

AppleApp StoreCultureTechBig Tech

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
ChatGPTWON$152K
Google GeminiLOST$20K
Freecash - Get Paid Real MoneyLOST$16K
ThreadsLOST$5K
GrokLOST$5K
GoogleLOST$4K
Whatnot: Shop, Sell, ConnectLOST$4K
CapCut: Photo & Video EditorLOST$2K
OtherLOST$0
App ALOST$0
App BLOST$0
App CLOST$0
App DLOST$0
App ELOST$0
App FLOST$0
App GLOST$0
App HLOST$0
App ILOST$0
App JLOST$0
App KLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%01-1701-2001-23
ChatGPTGoogle GeminiFreecash - Get Paid Real MoneyThreads
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 99% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Frequently asked questions

How did "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?" resolve?
It resolved ChatGPT around January 23, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 98.6% one day before close, 94.5% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$209K across 20 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.