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Home / Markets / Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Live market data

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?: live odds and probabilities

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 100.0% (+0.1 pts in 24h). $253K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:48 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

100.0%
No 0.0% · Trade →

24h move

+0.1
pts · 7d +0.1

Volume

$253K
24h $7K · liquidity $48K

Closes

January 1, 2027
56 days left

AppleTechBig TechCultureApple Event

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Yes100.0% +0.1+0.1$253K0.1¢
No0.0% -0.1-0.1$253K–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:48 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%03-0607-0611-06
Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 100% risks 100¢ to win 0¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 100.0% and No at 0.0%, on $253K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$253K in total and $7K in the last 24 hours, with about $48K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.