#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?: result and scorecard
Resolved ChatGPT. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.0%; a week before, 94.0%. $281K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
App StoreTechBig TechAppleCulture
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| ChatGPT | WON |
| Freecash - Get Paid Real Money | LOST |
| Google Gemini | LOST |
| Whatnot: Shop, Sell, Connect | LOST |
| Threads | LOST |
| LOST | |
| CapCut: Photo & Video Editor | LOST |
| Grok | LOST |
| Other | LOST |
| App A | LOST |
| App B | LOST |
| App C | LOST |
| App D | LOST |
| App E | LOST |
| App F | LOST |
| App G | LOST |
| App H | LOST |
| App I | LOST |
| App J | LOST |
| App K | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Frequently asked questions
- How did "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?" resolve?
- It resolved ChatGPT around January 16, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.0% one day before close, 94.0% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $281K across 20 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.