#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Reserved app 1 at 50.0%, ahead of Reserved app 2 at 50.0%. $3K traded across 12 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
appTechCultureBig TechApp Store
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Reserved app 1 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Reserved app 2 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Reserved app 3 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Reserved app 4 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Reserved app 5 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Muse from Meta | 47.0% | +22.5 |
| TikTok Pro - Events | 44.0% | +22.5 |
| ChatGPT | 43.5% | +22.5 |
| Capital One Mobile | 40.9% | +20.3 |
| Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace | 26.5% | +4.5 |
| Claude by Anthropic | 0.6% | -4.2 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:14 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Reserved app 1 is the favorite at 50.0%, followed by Reserved app 2 at 50.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 7, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $3K in total and $202 in the last 24 hours, with about $741 of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.