#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Shadowrocket at 56.0%, ahead of App 1 at 50.0%. $7K traded across 13 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
appTechCultureBig TechApp Store
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Shadowrocket | 56.0% | +3.0 |
| App 1 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| App 2 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| App 3 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| App 4 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| App 5 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| App 6 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Chromagraph Camera | 39.5% | -1.5 |
| Tiny Computers | 4.3% | -18.1 |
| HotSchedules | 1.6% | -0.1 |
| Deck-Man: Cassette Player | 1.1% | -0.3 |
| Procreate Pocket | 0.4% | -0.4 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:14 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/iphone/charts/36?chart=top-paid).
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Shadowrocket is the favorite at 56.0%, followed by App 1 at 50.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 7, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $7K in total and $1K in the last 24 hours, with about $1K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.