Get the brief
LIVE Hyperliquid whale tracker: the largest open positions and what they are doing, updated every few minutes →
Home / Markets / Will Trump visit North Korea by...?
Live market data

Will Trump visit North Korea by...?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is December 31 at 4.7%. $168K traded across 1 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

4.7%
December 31 · Trade →

24h move

-0.8
pts · 7d -2.3

Volume

$168K
24h $400 · liquidity $11K

Closes

January 1, 2027
56 days left

TrumpPoliticsNorth KoreaGeopolitics

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
December 314.7% -0.8-2.3$137K1.3¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%07-0109-0311-06
December 31

Market rules and resolution

If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying December 31 at 5% risks 5¢ to win 95¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Will Trump visit North Korea by...?"?
As of November 6, 2026, December 31 is the favorite at 4.7%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$168K in total and $400 in the last 24 hours, with about $11K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Fed Decision in December?US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Trump out as President before 2027?All live marketsMarkets resolving this weekPrediction market scorecard

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.