How did "Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?" resolve?

It resolved No around April 30, 2026.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 100.0% one day before close, 99.8% one week before and 98.3% one month before.

Home / Markets / Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?

Resolved market scorecard

Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?: result and scorecard

Name: Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 100.0%; a week before, 99.8%. $191K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

resolved May 1, 2026

Price 1 day before

100.0%

Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

99.8%

30 days before: 98.3%

Volume

$191K

1 outcome

Trump North Korea Politics Geopolitics Foreign Policy

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Yes	LOST	$191K
No	WON	$191K

Price history to resolution

Yes

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?" resolve?: It resolved No around April 30, 2026.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 100.0% one day before close, 99.8% one week before and 98.3% one month before.
How much was traded?: $191K across 1 outcome.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.