Resolved market scorecard
Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?: result and scorecard
Resolved Yes. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.8%; a week before, 98.7%. $185K traded in total.
Result
Yes
resolved October 3, 2025
Price 1 day before
99.8%
Market was confident and right
Price 7 days before
98.7%
30 days before: 99.3%
Volume
$185K
1 outcome
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | WON |
| No | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Taylor Swift officially releases a new album between July 30 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. The resolution source will be any official Taylor Swift streaming or download site, e.g., Apple Music or Spotify.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?" resolve?
- It resolved Yes around December 31, 2025.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.8% one day before close, 98.7% one week before and 99.3% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $185K across 1 outcome.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.