#2 Spotify song in the US this week? (November 6): live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Song 2 at 50.0%, ahead of Song 3 at 50.0%. $30K traded across 14 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Song 2 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Song 3 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Song 4 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Song 5 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Song 6 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Song 7 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley | 45.6% | +44.0 |
| Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA | 41.3% | -54.9 |
| Housewife - Tate McRae | 0.1% | -0.2 |
| expectations - Olivia Rodrigo, Chappell Roan | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Lies - Zach Bryan, Lana Del Rey | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Here You Come, There You Go - Gracie Abrams | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Thriller - Michael Jackson | 0.1% | -1.7 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:12 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs in the U.S. and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the second most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled November 6. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If Spotify does not release its #2 song for the week labeled November 6 by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The Weekly Top Songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "#2 Spotify song in the US this week? (November 6)"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Song 2 is the favorite at 50.0%, followed by Song 3 at 50.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 7, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $30K in total and $11K in the last 24 hours, with about $8K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.