Surigae makes landfall in Japan?: result and scorecard

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) states in its tropical cyclone information that the center of Tropical Storm Surigae (JMA designation T2626; PAGASA local name "Queenie") made landfall on or crossed Japanese land, or publishes for T2626 a "Center position" under an "Analysis" heading whose coordinates fall on Japanese land, by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Either one is sufficient on its own. A qualifying Center position counts however briefly the center remains over land, and counts on an island of any size. "Japan" refers to all territory under the administration of Japan, including the four main islands (Honshu, Hokkaido, Kyushu, and Shikoku), Okinawa, the Ryukyu Islands, the Ogasawara Islands, and all other Japanese islands. "Center position" is the field of that exact name in JMA's tropical cyclone information for T2626, and it is the only coordinate this market reads. Only a Center position given under an "Analysis" heading counts; a Center position given for a forecast hour will not be considered for resolution. JMA states each Center position in degrees and minutes with a rounded decimal in parentheses, in the form "N19 degrees 10 minutes (19.2 degrees)". Coordinates will be used exactly as published, without rounding. Where JMA publishes more than one Center position for the same analysis time, the one shown at the resolution source governs, and a position counts regardless of any accuracy qualifier JMA attaches to it. A Center position falling exactly on a coastline will be treated as on land. Only Center positions JMA publishes for T2626 and JMA's own written statements resolve this market: the line joining those positions on a track map or in a data product is a drawing, not a published Center position, and will not be considered for resolution, including where it passe