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Home / Markets / Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by...?
Resolved market scorecard

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by...?: result and scorecard

Resolved December 31. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 90.5%; a week before, 89.5%. $142K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:16 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

December 31
resolved June 16, 2026

Price 1 day before

90.5%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

89.5%
30 days before: 74.5%

Volume

$142K
2 outcomes

TechAcquisitionsSpaceXFinanceElon Musk

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
December 31WON$94K
September 30WON$49K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%04-2205-2006-17
December 31September 30
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 91% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Cursor will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving Cursor or its parent company (if applicable), and SpaceX or its parent company, Space Exploration Technologies Corp., will qualify. An announcement by Cursor or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cursor and SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by...?" resolve?
It resolved December 31 around December 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 90.5% one day before close, 89.5% one week before and 74.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$142K across 2 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.