Resolved market scorecard
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?: result and scorecard
Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 71.5%; a week before, 14.5%. $2.5M traded in total.
Result
No
resolved July 8, 2025
Price 1 day before
71.5%
Market leaned the right way
Price 7 days before
14.5%
30 days before: –
Volume
$2.5M
1 outcome
TechMicroStrategyCryptoRecurring
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | LOST |
| No | WON |
Price history to resolution
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 72% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy Incorporated announces between July 1, 12:00 AM (inclusive) and July 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive) that they have acquired additional Bitcoin. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?" resolve?
- It resolved No around July 7, 2025.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 71.5% one day before close, 14.5% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $2.5M across 1 outcome.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.