Resolved market scorecard
Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?: result and scorecard
Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 93.9%; a week before, 94.5%. $1.0M traded in total.
Result
No
resolved July 1, 2025
Price 1 day before
93.9%
Market was confident and right
Price 7 days before
94.5%
30 days before: 16.6%
Volume
$1.0M
1 outcome
MicroStrategyBitcoinTechCrypto PolicyMSTR
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | LOST |
| No | WON |
Price history to resolution
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 94% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy Incorporated holds 600,000 or more bitcoins at any point by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?" resolve?
- It resolved No around June 30, 2025.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 93.9% one day before close, 94.5% one week before and 16.6% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $1.0M across 1 outcome.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.