Who is favored in "Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?"?

As of November 6, 2026, 1M+ is the favorite at 1.5%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$568K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $19K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31,

Live market data

Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is 1M+ at 1.5%. $568K traded across 1 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

1.5%

1M+ · Trade →

24h move

0.0

pts · 7d -1.7

Volume

$568K

24h $0 · liquidity $19K

Closes

January 1, 2027

56 days left

Crypto Treasury Crypto Yearly MicroStrategy

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
1M+	1.5%	0.0	-1.7	$356K	1.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

1M+

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy Incorporated or Michael Saylor officially announce that the company’s total Bitcoin holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings. For reference, MicroStrategy’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying 1M+ at 1% risks 1¢ to win 99¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?"?: As of November 6, 2026, 1M+ is the favorite at 1.5%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $568K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $19K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.