What are the odds that MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 3-9?

As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 50.0% and No at 50.0%, on $0 of total volume.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on November 10, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$0 in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $1 of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 3-9?

Live market data

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 3-9?: live odds and probabilities

Name: MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 3-9? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 50.0% (+25.5 pts in 24h). $0 has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

50.0%

No 50.0% · Trade →

24h move

+25.5

pts · 7d 0.0

Volume

24h $0 · liquidity $1

Closes

November 10, 2026

4 days left

MicroStrategy Weekly Recurring Crypto

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Yes	50.0%	+25.5	0.0	$0	98.0¢
No	50.0%	-25.5	0.0	$0	–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy announces a purchase of more Bitcoin than the number specified in the title between the dates in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last date). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual purchases were made. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor. For reference, MicroStrategy's reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 50% risks 50¢ to win 50¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 3-9?: As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 50.0% and No at 50.0%, on $0 of total volume.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on November 10, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $0 in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $1 of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.