Resolved market scorecard
Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?: result and scorecard
Resolved Yes. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.7%; a week before, 99.7%. $1.7M traded in total.
Result
Yes
resolved October 14, 2025
Price 1 day before
99.7%
Market was confident and right
Price 7 days before
99.7%
30 days before: 98.8%
Volume
$1.7M
1 outcome
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | WON |
| No | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" album debuts at #1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of its release. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If this album has not been released by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be Billboard.com.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?" resolve?
- It resolved Yes around December 31, 2025.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.7% one day before close, 99.7% one week before and 98.8% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $1.7M across 1 outcome.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.