Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?: result and scorecard
Resolved Tucker Carlson. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 54.5%; a week before, 38.5%. $186K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
TrumpCulturePoliticsTrump-Netanyahu
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Tucker Carlson | WON |
| Jerome Powell | WON |
| Mark Carney | WON |
| Jon Ossoff | WON |
| Nicolás Maduro | WON |
| Barack Obama | WON |
| Abdul El-Sayed | WON |
| Kaitlan Collins | WON |
| J.B. Pritzker | WON |
| James Talarico | WON |
| Joe Biden | WON |
| Kevin Warsh | LOST |
| Zohran Mamdani | LOST |
| Emmanuel Macron | LOST |
| Friedrich Merz | LOST |
| Andy Burnham | LOST |
| Elon Musk | LOST |
| Vladimir Putin | LOST |
| Candace Owens | LOST |
| Hillary Clinton | LOST |
| Kathy Hochul | LOST |
| Letitia James | LOST |
| Xi Jinping | LOST |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | LOST |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | LOST |
| J.D. Vance | LOST |
| Pope Leo XIV | LOST |
| Jimmy Kimmel | LOST |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | LOST |
| Ilhan Omar | LOST |
| Karoline Leavitt | LOST |
| Elizabeth Warren | LOST |
| Mohammed bin Salman | LOST |
| Megyn Kelly | LOST |
| Alex Jones | LOST |
| Stephen Colbert | LOST |
| Pam Bondi | LOST |
| Melania Trump | LOST |
| Adam Schiff | LOST |
| Norah O'Donnell | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify. A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is ter
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?" resolve?
- It resolved Tucker Carlson around September 30, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 54.5% one day before close, 38.5% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $186K across 40 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.