Who will Trump meet with by November 30?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Xi Jinping at 96.1%, ahead of Vladimir Putin at 89.0%. $165K traded across 17 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping | 96.1% | -0.7 |
| Vladimir Putin | 89.0% | -0.5 |
| Mark Carney | 67.5% | -2.0 |
| Keir Starmer | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 41.8% | -12.8 |
| Elon Musk | 38.0% | +1.0 |
| Dario Amodei | 27.5% | +3.0 |
| Sam Altman | 16.0% | -7.0 |
| Andy Burnham | 14.0% | 0.0 |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 7.0% | -5.5 |
| Mohammed bin Salman | 6.5% | -2.5 |
| Javier Milei | 4.7% | -0.8 |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 4.5% | -4.0 |
| Kim Jong Un | 3.4% | +0.1 |
| Joseph Aoun | 2.5% | 0.0 |
| Giorgia Meloni | 2.2% | -1.3 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel | 1.9% | +0.1 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Who will Trump meet with by November 30?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Xi Jinping is the favorite at 96.1%, followed by Vladimir Putin at 89.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on December 1, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $165K in total and $6K in the last 24 hours, with about $187K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.