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Home / Markets / What will Ross Ulbricht say at the Bitcoin 2025 conference?
Resolved market scorecard

What will Ross Ulbricht say at the Bitcoin 2025 conference?: result and scorecard

Resolved Prison. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 74.5%; a week before, –. $240K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Prison
resolved May 30, 2025

Price 1 day before

74.5%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$240K
17 outcomes

BitcoinMentionsCultureCrypto

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
PrisonWON$62K
Silk RoadWON$35K
FreedomWON$14K
Pardon / PardonedWON$13K
SatoshiWON$10K
A.I / Artificial IntelligenceWON$8K
Trump 3+WON$7K
BlockchainWON$5K
Coin 25+LOST$35K
Coin 35+LOST$11K
Coin 50+LOST$10K
MemecoinLOST$10K
Million / Billion / Trillion 5+LOST$7K
AmericaLOST$5K
FBILOST$5K
EthereumLOST$2K
BankLOST$2K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%05-2905-2905-30
PrisonSilk RoadFreedomPardon / Pardoned
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 75% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

Ross Ulbricht is scheduled to address the Bitcoin 2025 conference on May 29 at 5:05 PM PT (https://b.tc/conference/2025/agenda). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ulbricht says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the specified scheduled speech Ulbricht gives at this event. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not made available by May 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the video of the event.

Frequently asked questions

How did "What will Ross Ulbricht say at the Bitcoin 2025 conference?" resolve?
It resolved Prison around May 29, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 74.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$240K across 17 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.