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Live market data

What price will Bitcoin hit on November 5?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is ↓ 75,000 at 3.2%, ahead of ↓ 74,000 at 0.9%. $483K traded across 11 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

3.2%
↓ 75,000 · Trade →

24h move

0.0
pts · 7d 0.0

Volume

$483K
24h $480K · liquidity $355K

Closes

November 6, 2026
0 days left

CryptoCrypto PricesRecurringHide From NewBitcoin

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
↓ 75,0003.2% 0.00.0$63K2.2¢
↓ 74,0000.9% 0.00.0$62K0.5¢
↑ 85,0000.1% 0.00.0$16K0.3¢
↑ 83,0000.1% 0.00.0$20K0.3¢
↑ 81,0000.1% 0.00.0$37K0.3¢
↑ 84,0000.1% 0.00.0$16K0.2¢
↑ 88,0000.1% 0.00.0$3K0.1¢
↑ 87,0000.1% 0.00.0$6K0.1¢
↑ 86,0000.1% 0.00.0$6K0.1¢
↑ 82,0000.1% 0.00.0$14K0.1¢
↓ 73,0000.1% 0.00.0$74K0.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%11-0511-0511-06
↓ 75,000↓ 74,000↑ 85,000↑ 83,000

Market rules and resolution

What price will Bitcoin hit on November 5?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying ↓ 75,000 at 3% risks 3¢ to win 97¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "What price will Bitcoin hit on November 5?"?
As of November 6, 2026, ↓ 75,000 is the favorite at 3.2%, followed by ↓ 74,000 at 0.9%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on November 6, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$483K in total and $480K in the last 24 hours, with about $355K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.