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Home / Markets / What will Daniel Radcliffe say on Hot Ones?
Resolved market scorecard

What will Daniel Radcliffe say on Hot Ones?: result and scorecard

Resolved Broadway. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 50.0%; a week before, –. $135K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Broadway
resolved February 19, 2026

Price 1 day before

50.0%
Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$135K
22 outcomes

MentionsCelebritiesMoviesCulture

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
BroadwayWON$101K
Da BombWON$8K
Emma / WatsonWON$3K
One BiteWON$1K
AgainWON$1K
Michael / DumbledoreWON$1K
Milk / Ice Cream 3+ timesWON$1K
CrazyWON$1K
Film / MovieWON$792
Harry PotterLOST$5K
GauntletLOST$2K
Sauce 5+ timesLOST$1K
LondonLOST$1K
ScovilleLOST$927
Kid / SonLOST$751
Grammy / TonyLOST$667
Elijah WoodLOST$628
Carolina ReaperLOST$616
Keke / PalmerLOST$591
Pandemic / CovidLOST$590
Wing 10+ timesLOST$487
BeastLOST$419

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%02-1902-1902-19
BroadwayDa BombOne Bite
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 50% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

Daniel Radcliffe is scheduled to appear on Hot Ones on February 19, 2026, 11AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Daniel Radcliffe says the listed term during his appearance on Hot Ones on February 19. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old episodes or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If this appearance is cancelled by Daniel Radcliffe or Hot Ones or otherwise is not aired by February 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released episode from (https://www.youtube.com/@FirstWeFeast).

Frequently asked questions

How did "What will Daniel Radcliffe say on Hot Ones?" resolve?
It resolved Broadway around February 19, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 50.0% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$135K across 22 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.