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Home / Markets / What will Bernie Sanders say in North Carolina on February 1
Resolved market scorecard

What will Bernie Sanders say in North Carolina on February 13?: result and scorecard

Resolved Trump 15+ times. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 32.5%; a week before, 49.5%. $268K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Trump 15+ times
resolved February 14, 2026

Price 1 day before

32.5%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

49.5%
30 days before: –

Volume

$268K
19 outcomes

MentionsberniePolitics

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Trump 15+ timesWON$23K
Paycheck to PaycheckWON$18K
Elon / Musk 4+ timesWON$15K
Crypto / BitcoinWON$14K
AI / Artificial IntelligenceWON$14K
MinneapolisWON$11K
GreedWON$11K
Robotic / RoboticsWON$9K
Healthcare / Health care 8+ timesWON$7K
Democracy 2+ timesWON$6K
ObamaLOST$26K
EpsteinLOST$25K
AffordabilityLOST$21K
CorruptionLOST$18K
Percent 15+ timesLOST$13K
-No Qualifying Event-LOST$13K
One Percent / One Percenter 3+ timesLOST$9K
Big Beautiful BillLOST$8K
Zuckerberg / Bezos 8+ timesLOST$6K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%02-0702-1002-14
Trump 15+ timesPaycheck to PaycheckElon / Musk 4+ timesCrypto / Bitcoin
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 33% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

Bernie Sanders is scheduled to participate in a Fighting Oligarchy rally in North Carolina on February 13, 2026 (see https://act.berniesanders.com/signup/rsvp-oligarchy-durham/?source=website-oligarchy). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bernie Sanders says the listed term during his appearance at the Fighting Oligarchy rally on February 13, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Bernie Sanders's appearance at the Fighting Oligarchy rally in North Carolina at 2PM ET on February 13. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "-No Qualifying Event-". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Frequently asked questions

How did "What will Bernie Sanders say in North Carolina on February 13?" resolve?
It resolved Trump 15+ times around February 13, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 32.5% one day before close, 49.5% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$268K across 19 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.