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Resolved market scorecard

What will be said during the NASA news conference?: result and scorecard

Resolved Artemis. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 84.0%; a week before, –. $9K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Artemis
resolved August 14, 2026

Price 1 day before

84.0%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$9K
16 outcomes

TechBig TechMentions

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
ArtemisWON$1K
ApolloWON$940
MarsWON$918
Space ForceWON$729
NuclearWON$722
SpaceXWON$633
Space ShuttleWON$342
AstronautWON$287
Robot / RoboticWON$24
-No Qualifying Event-LOST$3K
China / ChineseLOST$347
AI / Artificial IntelligenceLOST$228
Russia / RussianLOST$65
DronesLOST$65
Elon / MuskLOST$65
CosmonautLOST$32

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%08-1308-1408-14
ArtemisApolloMarsSpace Force
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 84% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve based on the NASA news conference on an event at Kennedy Space Center tied to America's 250th anniversary, currently scheduled to take place on August 14, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event from: https://www.youtube.com/live/I_GUQdY01b0. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Frequently asked questions

How did "What will be said during the NASA news conference?" resolve?
It resolved Artemis around August 14, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 84.0% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$9K across 16 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.