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Home / Markets / "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office
Resolved market scorecard

"Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office: result and scorecard

Resolved 158-171m. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 90.5%; a week before, 35.0%. $686K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

158-171m
resolved June 22, 2026

Price 1 day before

90.5%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

35.0%
30 days before: –

Volume

$686K
5 outcomes

MoviesCultureBox Office

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
158-171mWON$187K
145-158mLOST$194K
171-184mLOST$137K
>184mLOST$96K
<145mLOST$73K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%06-1106-1606-22
158-171m145-158m171-184m>184m
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 91% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to how much "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (June 19 - June 21) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Frequently asked questions

How did ""Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office" resolve?
It resolved 158-171m around June 22, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 90.5% one day before close, 35.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$686K across 5 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.