How did "Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?" resolve?

It resolved No around March 31, 2026.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.8% one day before close, 99.4% one week before and 95.0% one month before.

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Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?: result and scorecard

Name: Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.8%; a week before, 99.4%. $132K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:19 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

resolved April 1, 2026

Price 1 day before

99.8%

Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

99.4%

30 days before: 95.0%

Volume

$132K

1 outcome

Apple Culture

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Yes	LOST	$132K
No	WON	$132K

Price history to resolution

Yes

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Cook ceases to be CEO of Apple for any length of time between November 20, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Tim Cook's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Apple and/or Tim Cook, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?" resolve?: It resolved No around March 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.8% one day before close, 99.4% one week before and 95.0% one month before.
How much was traded?: $132K across 1 outcome.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.