Starmer out by...?: result and scorecard
Resolved June 30. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 90.5%; a week before, 19.5%. $38.2M traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
UKStarmerkeirGrooming GangsPolitics
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| June 30 | WON |
| December 31 | WON |
| June 22 | WON |
| July 31 | WON |
| June 26 | WON |
| August 31 | WON |
| October 31 | WON |
| June 23 | WON |
| June 25 | WON |
| June 24 | WON |
| February 28 | LOST |
| May 15 | LOST |
| April 30 | LOST |
| May 31 | LOST |
| May 19 | LOST |
| December 31, 2025 | LOST |
| March 31 | LOST |
| June 15 | LOST |
| June 21 | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between February 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Starmer out by...?" resolve?
- It resolved June 30 around December 31, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 90.5% one day before close, 19.5% one week before and 29.5% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $38.2M across 19 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.