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Home / Markets / SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Resolved market scorecard

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?: result and scorecard

Resolved Up. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 61.5%; a week before, 41.5%. $246K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Up
resolved June 30, 2026

Price 1 day before

61.5%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

41.5%
30 days before: –

Volume

$246K
1 outcome

IPOIPOsSpaceSpaceXFinance

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
UpWON$246K
DownLOST$246K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%06-0906-2006-30
UpDown
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 62% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its Initial Public Offering (IPO) is greater than or equal to the closing share price on its first day of trading. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.” The official closing price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the closing share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by SpaceX to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. If SpaceX’s first day of trading falls on the last trading day of the calendar month, this market will consider the closing share price of the last trading day of the following calendar month, treating it as though SpaceX completed its IPO the following month for the purposes of this market. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on either specified day of SpaceX trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published for either specified day, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the specified day for purposes of this market.

Frequently asked questions

How did "SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?" resolve?
It resolved Up around July 1, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 61.5% one day before close, 41.5% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$246K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.