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Resolved market scorecard

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?: result and scorecard

Resolved June 30. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.8%; a week before, 99.2%. $4.6M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:16 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

June 30
resolved June 12, 2026

Price 1 day before

99.8%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

99.2%
30 days before: 66.5%

Volume

$4.6M
8 outcomes

SpaceIPOsElon MuskFinanceIPO

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
June 30WON$785K
June 15WON$686K
September 30WON$424K
December 31WON$381K
August 31WON$317K
May 31LOST$906K
April 30LOST$628K
March 31LOST$508K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%01-2404-0306-12
June 30June 15September 30December 31
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

How did "SpaceX IPO by ___ ?" resolve?
It resolved June 30 around December 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.8% one day before close, 99.2% one week before and 66.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$4.6M across 8 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.