Who is favored in "How many SpaceX launches in 2026?"?

As of November 6, 2026, 140-159 is the favorite at 75.7%, followed by 120-139 at 39.3%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$346K in total and $33 in the last 24 hours, with about $6K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

Live market data

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?: live odds and probabilities

Name: How many SpaceX launches in 2026? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is 140-159 at 75.7%, ahead of 120-139 at 39.3%. $346K traded across 5 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

75.7%

140-159 · Trade →

24h move

+2.2

pts · 7d +3.8

Volume

$346K

24h $33 · liquidity $6K

Closes

January 1, 2027

56 days left

Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec Recurring Space SpaceX Science

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
140-159	75.7%	+2.2	+3.8	$51K	22.4¢
120-139	39.3%	+16.7	+18.1	$6K	57.4¢
180-199	4.4%	-0.6	-0.7	$62K	5.4¢
200 or more	3.6%	-0.1	+0.4	$108K	2.2¢
160-179	0.9%	-0.1	-1.3	$104K	0.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

140-159120-139180-199200 or more

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying 140-159 at 76% risks 76¢ to win 24¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "How many SpaceX launches in 2026?"?: As of November 6, 2026, 140-159 is the favorite at 75.7%, followed by 120-139 at 39.3%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $346K in total and $33 in the last 24 hours, with about $6K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.