SpaceX files IPO by...?: result and scorecard
Resolved April 3. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.7%; a week before, 26.0%. $132K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| April 3 | WON |
| March 31 | LOST |
| March 27 | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC’s EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by SpaceX or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting. A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market’s timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe. The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "SpaceX files IPO by...?" resolve?
- It resolved April 3 around April 3, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.7% one day before close, 26.0% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $132K across 3 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.