SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month: result and scorecard
Resolved $2.0T-$2.5T. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 94.5%; a week before, 45.5%. $1.9M traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| $2.0T-$2.5T | WON |
| $1.0T-$1.5T | LOST |
| $1.5T-$2.0T | LOST |
| $2.5T-$3.0T | LOST |
| <$1.0T | LOST |
| $3.0T-$3.5T | LOST |
| $3.5T+ | LOST |
| No IPO before 2028 | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its Initial Public Offering (IPO). The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by SpaceX to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month" resolve?
- It resolved $2.0T-$2.5T around July 1, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 94.5% one day before close, 45.5% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $1.9M across 8 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.