LIVE Hyperliquid whale tracker: the largest open positions and what they are doing, updated every few minutes →
Home / Markets / SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month
Resolved market scorecard

SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month: result and scorecard

Resolved $2.0T-$2.5T. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 94.5%; a week before, 45.5%. $1.9M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

$2.0T-$2.5T
resolved June 30, 2026

Price 1 day before

94.5%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

45.5%
30 days before: –

Volume

$1.9M
8 outcomes

IPOIPOsSpaceSpaceXFinance

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
$2.0T-$2.5TWON$315K
$1.0T-$1.5TLOST$449K
$1.5T-$2.0TLOST$421K
$2.5T-$3.0TLOST$271K
<$1.0TLOST$165K
$3.0T-$3.5TLOST$134K
$3.5T+LOST$121K
No IPO before 2028LOST$1K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%06-1006-2006-30
$2.0T-$2.5T$1.0T-$1.5T$1.5T-$2.0T$2.5T-$3.0T
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 95% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its Initial Public Offering (IPO). The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by SpaceX to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.

Frequently asked questions

How did "SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month" resolve?
It resolved $2.0T-$2.5T around July 1, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 94.5% one day before close, 45.5% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$1.9M across 8 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.