Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Pepas at 67.5%, ahead of Blinding Lights at 47.0%. $40K traded across 14 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
MusicGTA VIgamingCultureRockstar
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Pepas | 67.5% | +0.5 |
| Blinding Lights | 47.0% | -1.0 |
| Bad and Boujee | 31.0% | 0.0 |
| Sicko Mode | 28.5% | -2.5 |
| Mask Off | 22.5% | +1.5 |
| God's Plan | 21.0% | +0.5 |
| Stay | 16.7% | +2.5 |
| Look at Me! | 14.5% | +0.5 |
| Rockstar | 14.5% | -2.0 |
| Mo Bamba | 14.0% | -44.5 |
| Despacito | 13.0% | -2.5 |
| Shape of You | 13.0% | -2.0 |
| As It Was | 13.0% | +1.0 |
| XO Tour Llif3 | 11.5% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed song is confirmed to be included as a playable track on any in-game radio station within Grand Theft Auto VI's base game, as of its initial release on November 19, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A song counts as included if it can be heard by tuning into any radio station in the base game at launch. Music heard on the title screen or as background/ambient music during gameplay (i.e. not selectable via an in-game radio station) does not count. Songs added later via post-launch updates, DLC, or radio station updates will not count toward resolution. If GTA VI fails to release by December 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source of this market will be Rockstar Games' official announcements regarding GTA VI's in-game radio stations, in-game verification after release, or reliable reporting from credible gaming outlets confirming the in-game radio station tracklists.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Pepas is the favorite at 67.5%, followed by Blinding Lights at 47.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on December 4, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $40K in total and $630 in the last 24 hours, with about $6K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.