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Home / Markets / Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
Resolved market scorecard

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner: result and scorecard

Resolved Student List – Students Win. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 28.0%; a week before, 31.5%. $11.3M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Student List – Students Win
resolved October 26, 2026

Price 1 day before

28.0%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

31.5%
30 days before: 41.0%

Volume

$11.3M
37 outcomes

SerbiaPoliticsElectionsMain ElectionGlobal Elections

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Student List – Students WinWON$6.6M
Aleksandar Vučić – United SerbiaLOST$4.5M
European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko PonošLOST$118K
Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!LOST$60K
SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of SandžakLOST$12K
Authentic Right – Dr Miloš JovanovićLOST$9K
Usame Zukorlić Movement for UnificationLOST$7K
Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)LOST$5K
Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan NikolićLOST$4K
Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint PásztorLOST$4K
List ALOST$0
List BLOST$0
List CLOST$0
List DLOST$0
List ELOST$0
List FLOST$0
List GLOST$0
List HLOST$0
List ILOST$0
List JLOST$0
List KLOST$0
List LLOST$0
List MLOST$0
List NLOST$0
List OLOST$0
List PLOST$0
List QLOST$0
List RLOST$0
List SLOST$0
List TLOST$0
List ULOST$0
List VLOST$0
List WLOST$0
List XLOST$0
List YLOST$0
List ZLOST$0
OtherLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%09-2210-0910-26
Student List – Students WinAleksandar Vučić – United SerbiaEuropean Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko PonošIvica Dačić – Factor of Stability!
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 28% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).

Frequently asked questions

How did "Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner" resolve?
It resolved Student List – Students Win around October 25, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 28.0% one day before close, 31.5% one week before and 41.0% one month before.
How much was traded?
$11.3M across 37 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.