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Live market data

Serbian presidential election called by...?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is November 30 at 99.8%, ahead of November 15 at 21.0%. $31K traded across 2 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

99.8%
November 30 · Trade →

24h move

+3.8
pts · 7d +2.9

Volume

$31K
24h $5K · liquidity $17K

Closes

November 1, 2026
0 days left

SerbiaPoliticsElectionsGlobal ElectionsSerbia Elections

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
November 3099.8% +3.8+2.9$16K0.2¢
November 1521.0% +1.5-25.5$2K28.0¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%10-3011-0211-06
November 30November 15

Market rules and resolution

On September 27, 2026, Aleksandar Vučić resigned as President of Serbia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Serbian presidential election is called by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An election is called when it has been declared under the relevant Serbian electoral, legal, or constitutional procedures, to take place on a specific date, and the date of the election has been publicly announced. A statement of intention to call the election will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Serbia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying November 30 at 100% risks 100¢ to win 0¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Serbian presidential election called by...?"?
As of November 6, 2026, November 30 is the favorite at 99.8%, followed by November 15 at 21.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on November 1, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$31K in total and $5K in the last 24 hours, with about $17K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.