Balkan Elections Combo: Serbia and Bulgaria: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Candidate A at 50.0%, ahead of Candidate B at 50.0%. $7K traded across 40 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
SerbiaBulgariaPoliticsElectionsGlobal Elections
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Candidate A | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate B | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate C | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate D | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate E | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate F | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate G | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate H | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate I | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate J | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate K | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate L | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate M | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate N | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate O | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate P | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate Q | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate R | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate S | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate T | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate U | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate V | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate W | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate X | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate Y | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate Z | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate AA | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate AB | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate AC | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate AD | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate AE | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate AF | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate AG | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate AH | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate AI | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate AJ | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate AK | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Srdanović, Iotova | 12.5% | -2.0 |
| Vučić, Iotova | 1.5% | +0.9 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
Parliamentary elections in Serbia are scheduled to be held on October 25, 2026. The first round of the Bulgarian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches both of the following: the first Prime Minister of Serbia to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the winner of the Bulgarian presidential election, including any second round. For full rules for the Serbian Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642 For full rules for the Bulgarian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve according to the sources named in the two markets linked above.
Parliamentary elections in Serbia are scheduled to be held on October 25, 2026. The first round of the Bulgarian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches both of the following: the first Prime Minister of Serbia to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the winner of the Bulgarian presidential election. For full rules for the Serbian Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642 For full rules for the Bulgarian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve according to the sources named in the two markets linked above.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Balkan Elections Combo: Serbia and Bulgaria"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Candidate A is the favorite at 50.0%, followed by Candidate B at 50.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 2, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $7K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $6K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.