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Home / Markets / Senate passes bill to purchase 1m Bitcoin in 2025?
Resolved market scorecard

Senate passes bill to purchase 1m Bitcoin in 2025?: result and scorecard

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.9%; a week before, 99.9%. $66K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

No
resolved January 1, 2026

Price 1 day before

99.9%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

99.9%
30 days before: 97.9%

Volume

$66K
1 outcome

BitcoinPoliticsSenateCongressCrypto

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesLOST$66K
NoWON$66K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%03-2008-1001-01
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

On March 11, Senator Lummis reintroduced the BITCOIN Act, which aims to purchase 1,000,000 Bitcoin. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/BitcoinMagazine/status/1899447562790211883 This market will resolve to "Yes" if this act passes the Senate by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Senate passes bill to purchase 1m Bitcoin in 2025?" resolve?
It resolved No around December 31, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.9% one day before close, 99.9% one week before and 97.9% one month before.
How much was traded?
$66K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.