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Home / Markets / Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
Resolved market scorecard

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?: result and scorecard

Resolved August 31. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 20.5%; a week before, 18.5%. $686K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

August 31
resolved August 19, 2026

Price 1 day before

20.5%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

18.5%
30 days before: 57.5%

Volume

$686K
5 outcomes

putinRussiaUkrainezelenskyzelenskyy

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
August 31WON$303K
September 30WON$58K
December 31WON$11K
July 31LOST$241K
August 15LOST$73K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%06-3007-2508-19
August 31September 30December 31July 31
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 21% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?" resolve?
It resolved August 31 around August 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 20.5% one day before close, 18.5% one week before and 57.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$686K across 5 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.