What are the odds that Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?

As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 11.5% and No at 88.5%, on $10K of total volume.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$10K in total and $91 in the last 24 hours, with about $12K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?

Live market data

Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Putin visits US by December 31, 2026? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 11.5% (-0.5 pts in 24h). $10K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

11.5%

No 88.5% · Trade →

24h move

-0.5

pts · 7d -5.0

Volume

$10K

24h $91 · liquidity $12K

Closes

January 1, 2027

56 days left

Trump putin Russia Politics Geopolitics

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Yes	11.5%	-0.5	-5.0	$10K	3.0¢
No	88.5%	+0.5	+5.0	$10K	–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Yes

Market rules and resolution

If Vladimir Putin visits the United States between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vladimir Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Vladimir Putin enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or Russia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 12% risks 12¢ to win 89¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?: As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 11.5% and No at 88.5%, on $10K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $10K in total and $91 in the last 24 hours, with about $12K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.