Who is favored in "Piura Mayoral Election Winner"?

As of November 6, 2026, Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi is the favorite at 97.3%, followed by Person A at 50.0%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on October 5, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$42K in total and $63 in the last 24 hours, with about $56K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Piura Mayoral Election Winner

Live market data

Piura Mayoral Election Winner: live odds and probabilities

Name: Piura Mayoral Election Winner prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi at 97.3%, ahead of Person A at 50.0%. $42K traded across 42 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:12 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

97.3%

Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi · Trade →

24h move

+0.1

pts · 7d +0.4

Volume

$42K

24h $63 · liquidity $56K

Closes

October 5, 2026

0 days left

Peru Politics Elections Main Election Global Elections

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi	97.3%	+0.1	+0.4	$19K	4.4¢
Person A	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person B	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person C	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person D	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person E	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person F	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person G	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person H	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person I	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person J	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person K	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person L	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person M	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person N	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person O	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person P	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person Q	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person R	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person S	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person T	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person U	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person V	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person W	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person X	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person Y	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person Z	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Other	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán	2.7%	-0.1	-3.3	$14K	4.2¢
Mercedes Paola Maza Valencia	1.8%	+1.7	-0.1	$661	3.3¢
Walther Guerrero Silva	0.7%	0.0	+0.4	$982	1.2¢
Segundo Buenaventura Chávez Albirena	0.4%	0.0	-0.3	$542	0.6¢
Carlos Eduardo Cruz Michilot	0.4%	-0.1	-0.3	$636	0.8¢
Javier Fernando Miguel Atkins Lerggios	0.4%	0.0	+0.2	$695	0.5¢
John Alexander Do Santos Ocmin	0.3%	-0.2	-0.6	$686	0.3¢
José Luis Morey Requejo	0.2%	0.0	0.0	$877	0.2¢
Martín Gerardo Olivares Chanduví	0.1%	0.0	-0.1	$465	0.3¢
Paul Anthony Lizama Quinde	0.1%	-0.1	-0.1	$644	0.3¢
Ricardo Eliseo Paulini Palacios	0.1%	-0.1	-0.1	$381	0.3¢
Kelly Ann Stefany Morillas Bogado	0.1%	-0.2	-1.4	$461	0.2¢
Guillermo Chávez Timoteo	0.1%	0.0	0.0	$422	0.1¢
Alberto Alonso Ordinola Niño	0.1%	0.0	0.0	$2K	0.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:12 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi

Market rules and resolution

The 2026 Piura, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Piura as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi at 97% risks 97¢ to win 3¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Piura Mayoral Election Winner"?: As of November 6, 2026, Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi is the favorite at 97.3%, followed by Person A at 50.0%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on October 5, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $42K in total and $63 in the last 24 hours, with about $56K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.