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Live market data

Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes at 65.1%, ahead of Person A at 50.0%. $28K traded across 47 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:12 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

65.1%
Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes · Trade →

24h move

0.0
pts · 7d -0.4

Volume

$28K
24h $0 · liquidity $47K

Closes

October 5, 2026
0 days left

PeruPoliticsElectionsMain ElectionGlobal Elections

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes65.1% 0.0-0.4$6K68.9¢
Person A50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person B50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person C50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person D50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person E50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person F50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person G50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person H50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person I50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person J50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person K50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person L50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person M50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person N50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person O50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person P50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person Q50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person R50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person S50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person T50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person U50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person V50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person W50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person X50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person Y50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Person Z50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Other50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy34.9% +0.3+1.6$2K69.8¢
Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera31.4% +17.2+10.2$52962.3¢
Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias3.8% 0.00.0$5177.4¢
Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal1.6% 0.00.0$5873.0¢
Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa1.5% 0.0+0.9$9K2.9¢
Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar0.7% +0.2+0.5$5321.3¢
Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna0.5% +0.3+0.5$6371.1¢
José Miguel Briones Silva0.4% -0.6+0.3$6020.7¢
Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera0.1% +0.1+0.1$3K0.3¢
Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe0.1% 0.00.0$3240.1¢
Lizbeth Zavala Vilca0.1% 0.00.0$4680.1¢
Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto0.1% 0.00.0$3720.1¢
Yamel Deyson Romero Peralta0.1% 0.00.0$3530.1¢
Mauricio Cáceres Cáceres0.1% 0.00.0$5810.1¢
Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama0.1% 0.00.0$4090.1¢
Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez0.1% 0.00.0$5990.1¢
Isidro Flores Sosa0.1% 0.0-0.1$7280.1¢
Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga0.1% 0.00.0$5550.1¢
Alfredo Álvarez Díaz0.1% 0.00.0$3480.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:12 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%10-0610-2111-06
Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes

Market rules and resolution

The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes at 65% risks 65¢ to win 35¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner"?
As of November 6, 2026, Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes is the favorite at 65.1%, followed by Person A at 50.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on October 5, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$28K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $47K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.