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Home / Markets / Oleksandr Syrskyi out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by...?
Resolved market scorecard

Oleksandr Syrskyi out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by...?: result and scorecard

Resolved July 31. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 67.0%; a week before, –. $562K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

July 31
resolved July 22, 2026

Price 1 day before

67.0%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$562K
2 outcomes

RussiaUkrainezelenskyzelenskyyGeopolitics

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
July 31WON$393K
December 31WON$169K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%07-1707-1907-22
July 31December 31
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 67% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to “Yes” if Oleksandr Syrskyi’s departure as Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The departure will be considered to be announced when Oleksandr Syrskyi, the President of Ukraine, the Office of the President of Ukraine, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Syrskyi has ceased or will cease to hold the position of Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify). Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if certain conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives. If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to t

Frequently asked questions

How did "Oleksandr Syrskyi out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by...?" resolve?
It resolved July 31 around December 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 67.0% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$562K across 2 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.