What are the odds that NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 8.3% and No at 91.8%, on $153K of total volume.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$153K in total and $4K in the last 24 hours, with about $8K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

Live market data

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?: live odds and probabilities

Name: NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 8.3% (+4.0 pts in 24h). $153K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:30 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

8.3%

No 91.8% · Trade →

24h move

+4.0

pts · 7d -3.3

Volume

$153K

24h $4K · liquidity $8K

Closes

January 1, 2027

56 days left

Finance Business Stocks Economy NYSE

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Yes	8.3%	+4.0	-3.3	$153K	3.1¢
No	91.8%	-4.0	+3.3	$153K	–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:30 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 8% risks 8¢ to win 92¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?: As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 8.3% and No at 91.8%, on $153K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $153K in total and $4K in the last 24 hours, with about $8K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Largest Company end of December 2026?What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026?Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap Anthropic IPO by __?How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?AI bubble burst by...?Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?All live markets Markets resolving this week Prediction market scorecard

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.