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Home / Markets / Number of North Korea Missile Tests in May 2026?
Resolved market scorecard

Number of North Korea Missile Tests in May 2026?: result and scorecard

Resolved <2. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 93.8%; a week before, 86.0%. $31K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

<2
resolved June 1, 2026

Price 1 day before

93.8%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

86.0%
30 days before: 41.5%

Volume

$31K
3 outcomes

North KoreaKim Jong UnGeopolitics

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
<2WON$17K
2-3LOST$11K
4+LOST$4K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%04-2805-1506-01
<22-34+
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 94% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during May 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Number of North Korea Missile Tests in May 2026?" resolve?
It resolved <2 around May 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 93.8% one day before close, 86.0% one week before and 41.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$31K across 3 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.