Number of North Korea Missile Tests in July 2026?: result and scorecard
Resolved 1. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 57.5%; a week before, 40.0%. $32K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
GeopoliticsKim Jong UnNorth Korea
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| 1 | WON |
| 2 | LOST |
| <1 | LOST |
| 3+ | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during July 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Number of North Korea Missile Tests in July 2026?" resolve?
- It resolved 1 around July 31, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 57.5% one day before close, 40.0% one week before and 59.5% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $32K across 4 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.