Who is favored in "Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?"?

As of November 6, 2026, December 31 is the favorite at 11.5%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$7.6M in total and $2K in the last 24 hours, with about $32K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Live market data

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is December 31 at 11.5%. $7.6M traded across 1 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:55 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

11.5%

December 31 · Trade →

24h move

+0.5

pts · 7d -1.0

Volume

$7.6M

24h $2K · liquidity $32K

Closes

January 1, 2027

56 days left

Middle East Israel Iran Geopolitics Iran Regime

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
December 31	11.5%	+0.5	-1.0	$808K	1.0¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:55 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

December 31

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying December 31 at 12% risks 12¢ to win 89¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?"?: As of November 6, 2026, December 31 is the favorite at 11.5%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $7.6M in total and $2K in the last 24 hours, with about $32K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.