Resolved market scorecard
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?: result and scorecard
Resolved June 30, 2026. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 71.4%; a week before, 36.4%. $407.2M traded in total.
Result
June 30, 2026
resolved June 1, 2026
Price 1 day before
71.4%
Market leaned the right way
Price 7 days before
36.4%
30 days before: 1.8%
Volume
$407.2M
5 outcomes
EconomyBusiness2025 PredictionsCryptoMicroStrategy
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| June 30, 2026 | WON |
| December 31, 2026 | WON |
| May 31, 2026 | LOST |
| December 31, 2025 | LOST |
| March 31, 2026 | LOST |
Price history to resolution
June 30, 2026December 31, 2026May 31, 2026December 31, 2025
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 71% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?" resolve?
- It resolved June 30, 2026 around January 1, 2027.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 71.4% one day before close, 36.4% one week before and 1.8% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $407.2M across 5 outcomes.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.