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Home / Markets / Melania Trump meets with ___ by December 31, 2026?
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Melania Trump meets with ___ by December 31, 2026?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Zelenskyy at 21.0%, ahead of Putin at 14.0%. $3K traded across 2 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

21.0%
Zelenskyy · Trade →

24h move

+3.5
pts · 7d -21.5

Volume

$3K
24h $66 · liquidity $4K

Closes

January 1, 2027
56 days left

TrumpRussiaUkrainePoliticsGeopolitics

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Zelenskyy21.0% +3.5-21.5$1K8.0¢
Putin14.0% +0.5+1.0$2K4.0¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%10-2811-0111-06
ZelenskyyPutin

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Melania Trump meets with the listed individual (Vladimir Putin or Volodymyr Zelenskyy) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Melania Trump and the listed individual are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Zelenskyy at 21% risks 21¢ to win 79¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Melania Trump meets with ___ by December 31, 2026?"?
As of November 6, 2026, Zelenskyy is the favorite at 21.0%, followed by Putin at 14.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$3K in total and $66 in the last 24 hours, with about $4K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.