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Home / Markets / Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by...?
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Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by...?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is March 31, 2027 at 25.5%, ahead of December 31, 2026 at 15.5%. $57K traded across 6 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

25.5%
March 31, 2027 · Trade →

24h move

0.0
pts · 7d 0.0

Volume

$57K
24h $57K · liquidity $270K

Closes

April 1, 2027
146 days left

TrumprubioPoliticsGeopoliticsTrump Cabinet

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
March 31, 202725.5% 0.00.0$7K1.0¢
December 31, 202615.5% 0.00.0$15K1.0¢
November 30, 20266.5% 0.00.0$14K1.0¢
November 15, 20264.9% 0.00.0$8K1.2¢
November 8, 20262.1% 0.00.0$9K0.9¢
November 6, 20260.8% 0.00.0$4K0.2¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%11-0511-0511-06
March 31, 2027December 31, 2026November 30, 2026November 15, 2026

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marco Rubio ceases to be U.S. Secretary of State for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Marco Rubio's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Marco Rubio and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying March 31, 2027 at 26% risks 26¢ to win 75¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by...?"?
As of November 6, 2026, March 31, 2027 is the favorite at 25.5%, followed by December 31, 2026 at 15.5%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on April 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$57K in total and $57K in the last 24 hours, with about $270K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.