How many goals will Lionel Messi score during the 2027 MLS Sprint Season window?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is 3+ at 78.5%, ahead of 2+ at 77.3%. $14K traded across 20 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
MLSGoalsSoccerSportsLionel Messi
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| 3+ | 78.5% | +16.0 |
| 2+ | 77.3% | -0.9 |
| 5+ | 70.0% | -0.5 |
| 8+ | 61.0% | 0.0 |
| 9+ | 58.0% | -1.5 |
| 10+ | 56.0% | 0.0 |
| 4+ | 52.5% | -7.5 |
| 6+ | 51.5% | 0.0 |
| 17+ | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| 20+ | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| 15+ | 49.5% | 0.0 |
| 1+ | 49.0% | -1.5 |
| 11+ | 49.0% | 0.0 |
| 14+ | 49.0% | 0.0 |
| 18+ | 49.0% | 0.0 |
| 7+ | 39.5% | -8.5 |
| 13+ | 27.5% | 0.0 |
| 16+ | 26.5% | 0.0 |
| 12+ | 23.0% | 0.0 |
| 19+ | 6.5% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of goals Lionel Messi scores between February 1, 2027 and May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This window covers the 2027 MLS Sprint Season, the abbreviated 14-match Major League Soccer regular season scheduled to run from February 2027 to May 2027, together with the 2027 MLS Cup Playoffs. Goals count only in official competitive matches: Major League Soccer league matches, domestic cup matches, continental and international club competitions, and competitive matches for the Argentina senior men's national team. Goals in friendly matches, exhibition matches, testimonials, and pre-season or mid-season tour matches do not count. Only goals scored during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. Own goals do not count toward the total. If Lionel Messi does not play in any match during this window, this market will resolve to "No". If it cannot be determined how many goals Lionel Messi scored by June 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer and the relevant competition organisers; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "How many goals will Lionel Messi score during the 2027 MLS Sprint Season window?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, 3+ is the favorite at 78.5%, followed by 2+ at 77.3%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on June 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $14K in total and $140 in the last 24 hours, with about $738 of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.