MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Henry Kessler at 33.1%, ahead of Robin Jansson at 5.3%. $972K traded across 40 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Henry Kessler | 33.1% | -8.8 |
| Robin Jansson | 5.3% | +0.1 |
| Kamal Miller | 4.8% | -1.1 |
| Rudy Camacho | 4.7% | -0.3 |
| Tristan Blackmon | 4.0% | 0.0 |
| Matt Miazga | 3.6% | -3.0 |
| Michael Boxall | 3.4% | +1.8 |
| Justen Glad | 3.4% | -0.2 |
| Brendan Hines-Ike | 2.8% | -4.3 |
| Oleksandr Svatok | 2.8% | +0.1 |
| Joel Waterman | 2.6% | +1.3 |
| Jakob Glesnes | 2.3% | +0.1 |
| Miles Robinson | 2.2% | -3.0 |
| Jalen Neal | 2.1% | -41.7 |
| Robert Voloder | 2.0% | -31.8 |
| Walker Zimmerman | 1.8% | 0.0 |
| Aaron Long | 1.7% | 0.0 |
| Sebastien Ibeagha | 1.7% | -0.4 |
| Jack Elliott | 1.7% | +0.6 |
| Andrew Privett | 1.5% | -0.1 |
| Stian Gregersen | 1.5% | -0.1 |
| David Brekalo | 1.3% | +0.1 |
| Daniel Munie | 1.0% | +0.1 |
| Enea Mihaj | 0.9% | -0.1 |
| Mauricio Pineda | 0.8% | -0.1 |
| Tim Parker | 0.7% | 0.0 |
| Jackson Ragen | 0.6% | 0.0 |
| Maximiliano Falcón | 0.6% | -0.8 |
| Maya Yoshida | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| Nkosi Tafari | 0.5% | -0.1 |
| Lucas Bartlett | 0.4% | 0.0 |
| Sean Nealis | 0.4% | 0.0 |
| Christopher McVey | 0.4% | 0.0 |
| Eddie Segura | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Thiago Martins | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Yevhen Cheberko | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Jack Maher | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Dave Romney | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Micael | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Erik Sviatchenko | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Defender of the Year award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Henry Kessler is the favorite at 33.1%, followed by Robin Jansson at 5.3%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $972K in total and $749 in the last 24 hours, with about $14K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.